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US-CASINOS
DJ CASINOS INDEX
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.31.2010 (1) day ago, when the index value was 393.9. Since then US-CASINOS has gained 1.99% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. You will see if we erred slightly in the previous SELL signal. A confirmation in the next session may mean that we have underestimated the bullish power of the market. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
401.70
+12.270 +3.15%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Opening Marubozu
Bullish Engulfing
Candlestick Pattern
 

Today a White Opening Marubozu was formed. This shows that the day opened and then the prices continued to go up all day long without coming below the opening level thus forming a long white body, however prices did not close at the high of the day and thus they created an upper shadow.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Index Value
Day's Close 401.70
Previous Close 389.43
Previous Open 393.85
Change +12.270
% Change +3.15%
Volume 10,431,190
 
Index Activity
Day's Open 389.66
Day's High 402.97
Day's Low 389.66
20-Day Close M.A. 405.98
50-Day Close M.A. 393.82
65-Day Volume M.A. 12,066,708
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.31.10 393.85    Sell 3,263
08.27.10 392.71    Buy 3,253
08.23.10 411.99    Sell 3,253
08.13.10 402.53    Buy 3,179
08.11.10 413.23    Sell 3,179
08.03.10 414.48    Buy 3,188
07.28.10 403.26    Sell 3,188
07.20.10 367.21    Buy 2,903
07.16.10 379.98    Sell 2,903
07.09.10 368.03    Buy 2,812
06.28.10 414.04    Sell 2,812
06.23.10 409.54    Buy 2,781
06.16.10 431.21    Sell 2,781
06.10.10 394.28    Buy 2,543
06.07.10 407.60    Sell 2,543
06.03.10 413.98    Buy 2,583
06.01.10 413.89    Sell 2,583
05.27.10 391.09    Buy 2,441
05.14.10 438.90    Sell 2,441
05.10.10 402.12    Buy 2,236
05.04.10 468.51    Sell 2,236
04.29.10 452.22    Buy 2,158
04.15.10 433.32    Sell 2,158
04.05.10 390.12    Buy 1,943
03.25.10 385.33    Sell 1,943
03.22.10 364.01    Buy 1,836
03.15.10 361.62    Sell 1,836
02.22.10 335.71    Buy 1,704
02.18.10 345.30    Sell 1,704
02.09.10 323.03    Buy 1,594
01.20.10 382.33    Sell 1,594
01.13.10 369.71    Buy 1,542
01.08.10 367.82    Sell 1,542
01.05.10 350.52    Buy 1,469
12.24.09 334.63    Sell 1,469
12.21.09 334.82    Buy 1,470
11.19.09 366.95    Sell 1,470
11.05.09 321.86    Buy 1,289
10.26.09 363.37    Sell 1,289
10.21.09 363.93    Buy 1,291
10.09.09 376.91    Sell 1,291
10.05.09 347.30    Buy 1,190
10.01.09 368.62    Sell 1,190
09.28.09 369.36    Buy 1,192
09.18.09 386.34    Sell 1,192
09.03.09 314.97    Buy 972
08.31.09 334.91    Sell 972
08.20.09 312.87    Buy 908
08.17.09 322.55    Sell 908
08.13.09 317.28    Buy 893
08.06.09 311.60    Sell 893
08.03.09 289.34    Buy 829
07.29.09 288.26    Sell 829
07.13.09 218.22    Buy 628
06.30.09 244.40    Sell 628
06.25.09 234.48    Buy 602
06.03.09 273.27    Sell 602
05.28.09 254.65    Buy 561
05.20.09 259.37    Sell 561
05.18.09 241.50    Buy 523
05.13.09 269.07    Sell 523
04.01.09 141.42    Buy 275
03.20.09 144.83    Sell 275
03.12.09 123.56    Buy 234
02.27.09 141.24    Sell 234
02.24.09 138.21    Buy 229
02.11.09 158.84    Sell 229
02.06.09 163.02    Buy 235
01.29.09 194.64    Sell 235
01.15.09 191.27    Buy 231
12.22.08 213.99    Sell 231
12.16.08 190.61    Buy 206
12.11.08 196.63    Sell 206
11.24.08 140.32    Buy 147
11.05.08 248.64    Sell 147
10.29.08 172.75    Buy 102
10.21.08 226.87    Sell 102
10.17.08 223.85    Buy 101
10.15.08 247.88    Sell 101
10.10.08 232.30    Buy 94
10.01.08 367.00    Sell 94
09.19.08 396.93    Buy 102
09.15.08 408.43    Sell 102
09.08.08 427.89    Buy 107
09.03.08 457.51    Sell 107
08.22.08 427.48    Buy 100
08.13.08 488.39    Sell 100
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