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US-AUTO
DJ AUTOMOBILES INDEX
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.31.2010 (1) day ago, when the index value was 125.1. Since then US-AUTO has gained 2.77% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. You will see if we erred slightly in the previous SELL signal. A confirmation in the next session may mean that we have underestimated the bullish power of the market. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
128.52
+3.9400 +3.16%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Candlestick
Bullish Engulfing
Bullish Morning Star
Candlestick Pattern
 

Today a White Candlestick was formed. This represents normal buying pressure.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.

The last three candlesticks formed a Bullish Morning Star Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. Though it is highly reliable confirmation is still recommended.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Index Value
Day's Close 128.52
Previous Close 124.58
Previous Open 125.05
Change +3.9400
% Change +3.16%
Volume 11,236,200
 
Index Activity
Day's Open 124.87
Day's High 131.23
Day's Low 124.87
20-Day Close M.A. 132.36
50-Day Close M.A. 129.66
65-Day Volume M.A. 12,357,034
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.31.10 125.05    Sell 2,347
08.27.10 123.36    Buy 2,315
08.20.10 130.76    Sell 2,315
08.18.10 134.38    Buy 2,379
08.16.10 133.47    Sell 2,379
08.02.10 141.08    Buy 2,515
07.28.10 143.78    Sell 2,515
07.20.10 127.06    Buy 2,222
07.06.10 113.24    Sell 2,222
07.01.10 112.92    Buy 2,216
06.17.10 129.70    Sell 2,216
06.10.10 123.76    Buy 2,115
04.27.10 162.13    Sell 2,115
04.09.10 142.62    Buy 1,860
04.07.10 142.81    Sell 1,860
04.05.10 140.47    Buy 1,830
03.19.10 150.52    Sell 1,830
03.11.10 140.96    Buy 1,713
03.09.10 141.69    Sell 1,713
02.24.10 127.34    Buy 1,540
02.12.10 122.56    Sell 1,540
02.09.10 120.31    Buy 1,512
02.05.10 121.14    Sell 1,512
02.02.10 122.27    Buy 1,526
01.21.10 127.71    Sell 1,526
01.19.10 128.03    Buy 1,530
01.13.10 130.41    Sell 1,530
01.05.10 115.74    Buy 1,357
12.30.09 113.54    Sell 1,357
12.09.09 103.28    Buy 1,235
11.19.09 104.72    Sell 1,235
11.17.09 102.72    Buy 1,211
11.12.09 97.920    Sell 1,211
11.06.09 89.120    Buy 1,102
10.23.09 94.060    Sell 1,102
10.13.09 89.500    Buy 1,049
09.25.09 86.310    Sell 1,049
09.22.09 82.240    Buy 999
09.01.09 89.200    Sell 999
08.27.09 88.050    Buy 987
08.14.09 91.590    Sell 987
07.31.09 86.010    Buy 926
07.29.09 83.180    Sell 926
07.23.09 74.920    Buy 834
07.06.09 66.540    Sell 834
06.25.09 64.770    Buy 812
06.05.09 73.690    Sell 812
05.28.09 63.850    Buy 704
05.12.09 72.230    Sell 704
05.08.09 73.440    Buy 716
05.05.09 73.870    Sell 716
04.22.09 51.760    Buy 501
04.15.09 55.780    Sell 501
04.02.09 39.880    Buy 358
03.25.09 42.120    Sell 358
03.10.09 26.900    Buy 229
03.02.09 30.430    Sell 229
02.23.09 26.720    Buy 201
02.10.09 34.340    Sell 201
02.05.09 33.170    Buy 194
01.30.09 34.230    Sell 194
01.27.09 33.380    Buy 189
01.09.09 46.380    Sell 189
12.30.08 40.530    Buy 165
12.11.08 52.270    Sell 165
11.21.08 28.540    Buy 90
11.03.08 52.550    Sell 90
10.17.08 56.550    Buy 97
10.15.08 60.140    Sell 97
10.13.08 60.120    Buy 97
09.23.08 102.17    Sell 97
09.12.08 102.46    Buy 97
09.05.08 94.700    Sell 97
09.02.08 94.920    Buy 98
08.19.08 100.50    Sell 98
08.15.08 104.01    Buy 101
08.13.08 103.67    Sell 101
08.11.08 102.53    Buy 100
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  Quality maintenance-free data supplied by End of Day Data