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Not Updated since 9/1/2010 9/2/2010  
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TRLG
TRUE RELIGION APPAREL INC
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.30.2010 (2) days ago, when the stock price was 18.7500. Since then TRLG has fallen -3.73% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

We do not suggest any new short positions given the bullish alert. The short sellers should consider covering their positions if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal. Otherwise, existing short positions should be carried.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
18.050
+0.5100 +2.91%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Spinning Top
Bullish Harami
Candlestick Pattern

Today a White Spinning Top was formed. This represents complete indecision between the bulls and the bears.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Harami Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is low and it definitely requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 18.050
Previous Close 17.540
Previous Open 18.500
Change +0.5100
% Change +2.91%
Volume 518,642
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 17.940
Day's High 18.490
Day's Low 17.890
20-Day Close M.A. 20.207
50-Day Close M.A. 22.325
65-Day Volume M.A. 410,530
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.30.10 18.750    Sell 2,635
08.25.10 19.610    Buy 2,756
08.10.10 22.110    Sell 2,756
07.22.10 23.250    Buy 2,898
07.14.10 24.490    Sell 2,898
07.08.10 23.510    Buy 2,782
06.29.10 23.070    Sell 2,782
06.25.10 24.330    Buy 2,934
06.15.10 27.910    Sell 2,934
06.03.10 26.570    Buy 2,793
06.01.10 27.390    Sell 2,793
05.25.10 26.880    Buy 2,741
04.19.10 29.920    Sell 2,741
04.15.10 30.930    Buy 2,833
04.13.10 28.880    Sell 2,833
04.09.10 29.310    Buy 2,875
04.01.10 30.360    Sell 2,875
03.17.10 29.530    Buy 2,797
03.12.10 29.320    Sell 2,797
02.25.10 21.920    Buy 2,091
02.23.10 20.720    Sell 2,091
02.02.10 19.390    Buy 1,957
01.14.10 21.560    Sell 1,957
12.11.09 17.860    Buy 1,621
12.02.09 18.810    Sell 1,621
11.24.09 18.440    Buy 1,589
11.18.09 19.960    Sell 1,589
11.16.09 20.320    Buy 1,618
11.11.09 20.840    Sell 1,618
11.06.09 20.180    Buy 1,566
10.27.09 27.970    Sell 1,566
10.19.09 26.980    Buy 1,511
10.12.09 27.900    Sell 1,511
09.28.09 25.520    Buy 1,382
09.23.09 26.510    Sell 1,382
08.26.09 23.270    Buy 1,213
08.24.09 22.800    Sell 1,213
08.19.09 21.230    Buy 1,130
08.05.09 23.520    Sell 1,130
07.31.09 22.350    Buy 1,073
07.28.09 23.110    Sell 1,073
07.13.09 19.790    Buy 919
07.01.09 22.300    Sell 919
06.26.09 20.100    Buy 829
06.23.09 19.940    Sell 829
06.19.09 20.650    Buy 858
06.11.09 22.960    Sell 858
05.26.09 20.390    Buy 762
05.21.09 20.500    Sell 762
05.18.09 19.700    Buy 732
05.11.09 21.910    Sell 732
04.08.09 12.190    Buy 407
04.06.09 13.400    Sell 407
04.01.09 11.810    Buy 359
03.30.09 11.900    Sell 359
03.25.09 11.510    Buy 347
03.20.09 11.760    Sell 347
03.18.09 10.160    Buy 300
03.16.09 9.630    Sell 300
03.11.09 8.480    Buy 264
02.26.09 12.350    Sell 264
02.20.09 11.470    Buy 245
02.10.09 11.770    Sell 245
02.05.09 11.330    Buy 236
01.30.09 11.790    Sell 236
01.23.09 11.500    Buy 230
01.07.09 13.810    Sell 230
12.31.08 12.310    Buy 205
12.22.08 12.540    Sell 205
12.16.08 10.600    Buy 174
12.11.08 13.730    Sell 174
11.20.08 10.250    Buy 130
11.05.08 16.820    Sell 130
10.28.08 14.030    Buy 108
10.21.08 17.290    Sell 108
10.14.08 19.380    Buy 121
09.29.08 29.540    Sell 121
09.25.08 29.090    Buy 119
09.23.08 29.210    Sell 119
09.11.08 27.000    Buy 110
09.03.08 27.010    Sell 110
08.27.08 25.460    Buy 104
08.14.08 26.960    Sell 104
08.06.08 25.930    Buy 100
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