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AMEXCOMP
AMEX COMPOSITE INDEX
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.31.2010 (1) day ago, when the index value was 1,880.1. Since then AMEXCOMP has gained 2.25% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. You will see if we erred slightly in the previous SELL signal. A confirmation in the next session may mean that we have underestimated the bullish power of the market. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
1,922.5
+45.130 +2.40%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Opening Marubozu
Bullish Engulfing
Bullish Morning Star
Candlestick Pattern
 

Today a White Opening Marubozu was formed. This shows that the day opened and then the prices continued to go up all day long without coming below the opening level thus forming a long white body, however prices did not close at the high of the day and thus they created an upper shadow.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.

The last three candlesticks formed a Bullish Morning Star Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. Though it is highly reliable confirmation is still recommended.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Index Value
Day's Close 1,922.5
Previous Close 1,877.3
Previous Open 1,880.1
Change +45.130
% Change +2.40%
Volume -
 
Index Activity
Day's Open 1,877.3
Day's High 1,928.1
Day's Low 1,877.3
20-Day Close M.A. 1,895.6
50-Day Close M.A. 1,878.3
65-Day Volume M.A. -
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.31.10 1,880.1    Sell 299
08.26.10 1,855.8    Buy 295
08.19.10 1,914.1    Sell 295
08.13.10 1,891.2    Buy 292
08.06.10 1,939.2    Sell 292
08.03.10 1,922.2    Buy 289
07.28.10 1,916.1    Sell 289
07.22.10 1,846.2    Buy 279
07.16.10 1,902.7    Sell 279
06.25.10 1,840.0    Buy 270
06.21.10 1,883.7    Sell 270
06.10.10 1,800.3    Buy 258
06.04.10 1,830.9    Sell 258
05.27.10 1,731.6    Buy 244
05.14.10 1,884.9    Sell 244
05.11.10 1,866.5    Buy 241
04.28.10 1,943.0    Sell 241
04.20.10 1,937.2    Buy 241
04.16.10 1,964.3    Sell 241
04.14.10 1,974.0    Buy 242
04.07.10 1,960.9    Sell 242
03.23.10 1,889.6    Buy 233
03.19.10 1,907.5    Sell 233
03.12.10 1,889.9    Buy 231
03.09.10 1,916.9    Sell 231
02.26.10 1,834.2    Buy 221
02.23.10 1,863.4    Sell 221
02.11.10 1,786.2    Buy 212
02.04.10 1,820.3    Sell 212
02.02.10 1,813.4    Buy 211
01.29.10 1,801.0    Sell 211
01.27.10 1,814.9    Buy 213
01.20.10 1,908.0    Sell 213
12.31.09 1,823.9    Buy 203
12.29.09 1,824.4    Sell 203
12.21.09 1,767.0    Buy 197
12.17.09 1,787.2    Sell 197
12.10.09 1,767.9    Buy 195
12.03.09 1,806.7    Sell 195
11.25.09 1,799.9    Buy 194
11.18.09 1,835.3    Sell 194
11.16.09 1,820.8    Buy 192
11.12.09 1,822.3    Sell 192
11.04.09 1,754.5    Buy 185
10.20.09 1,878.8    Sell 185
10.06.09 1,764.8    Buy 174
09.18.09 1,814.8    Sell 174
09.16.09 1,805.1    Buy 173
08.24.09 1,707.3    Sell 173
08.13.09 1,692.9    Buy 172
08.06.09 1,719.0    Sell 172
07.14.09 1,541.5    Buy 154
07.02.09 1,593.4    Sell 154
06.19.09 1,570.7    Buy 152
06.15.09 1,623.0    Sell 152
06.10.09 1,612.8    Buy 151
06.03.09 1,661.6    Sell 151
05.29.09 1,590.0    Buy 144
05.21.09 1,533.3    Sell 144
05.18.09 1,473.3    Buy 139
05.13.09 1,511.7    Sell 139
04.24.09 1,396.5    Buy 128
04.20.09 1,394.7    Sell 128
04.09.09 1,387.6    Buy 127
04.06.09 1,403.4    Sell 127
04.01.09 1,359.4    Buy 123
03.30.09 1,349.6    Sell 123
03.25.09 1,362.8    Buy 125
03.20.09 1,335.7    Sell 125
03.18.09 1,318.7    Buy 123
03.13.09 1,306.3    Sell 123
03.06.09 1,262.0    Buy 119
03.03.09 1,260.8    Sell 119
02.26.09 1,312.0    Buy 124
02.23.09 1,333.5    Sell 124
02.03.09 1,397.6    Buy 130
01.29.09 1,420.9    Sell 130
01.26.09 1,361.9    Buy 124
01.22.09 1,357.4    Sell 124
01.16.09 1,362.9    Buy 125
01.07.09 1,473.9    Sell 125
12.26.08 1,330.2    Buy 113
12.11.08 1,326.1    Sell 113
12.08.08 1,278.2    Buy 109
11.28.08 1,371.4    Sell 109
11.24.08 1,204.0    Buy 95
11.06.08 1,452.5    Sell 95
10.28.08 1,284.0    Buy 84
10.21.08 1,508.7    Sell 84
10.01.08 1,786.9    Buy 100
09.23.08 1,902.6    Sell 100
09.19.08 1,872.7    Buy 98
09.16.08 1,846.7    Sell 98
09.12.08 1,877.2    Buy 100
09.02.08 2,079.2    Sell 100
08.27.08 2,059.2    Buy 99
08.25.08 2,084.5    Sell 99
08.19.08 2,037.5    Buy 97
08.15.08 2,056.2    Sell 97
08.06.08 2,128.1    Buy 100
  List of AMEX Stocks starting with A List of AMEX Stocks starting with B List of AMEX Stocks starting with C List of AMEX Stocks starting with D List of AMEX Stocks starting with E List of AMEX Stocks starting with F List of AMEX Stocks starting with G List of AMEX Stocks starting with H List of AMEX Stocks starting with I List of AMEX Stocks starting with J List of AMEX Stocks starting with K List of AMEX Stocks starting with L List of AMEX Stocks starting with M List of AMEX Stocks starting with N List of AMEX Stocks starting with O List of AMEX Stocks starting with P List of AMEX Stocks starting with Q List of AMEX Stocks starting with R List of AMEX Stocks starting with S List of AMEX Stocks starting with T List of AMEX Stocks starting with U List of AMEX Stocks starting with V List of AMEX Stocks starting with W List of AMEX Stocks starting with X List of AMEX Stocks starting with Y List of AMEX Stocks starting with Z
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